Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) has an estimated fair value of $14.98 per share, compared to its current market price of $10.43. The stock is currently trading 43.6% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 2 independent models — including Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show moderate agreement with a 24% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 63.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $12.68.

American Airlines Group Inc. is classified under the Airline sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.