Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 23% spread
ADBE Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, ADBE (ADBE) has an estimated fair value of $625.88 per share, compared to its current market price of $281.74. The stock is currently trading 122.1% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 23% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 90.1% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $528.63.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $725.91, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
ADBE is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-01-15 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 6, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology