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ADBE
SaaS / Tech10-K · Filed 2026-01-15
Clarity Fair Value
$625.88
SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED (+122.1%)
Market Price
$281.74
122.1% Upside
$254$629$1.0K$1.4K$1.8K202620282030203220342036Market $282
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 23% spread

DCF$645.68 · 52%
Comps$841.40 · 29%
EV/Rev$340.95 · 12%
Residual Income$156.85 · 4%
ROIC Fade$85.59 · 4%
Beta
Shares
427M
1Y Target
$725.91
EPV Floor
$200.39

ADBE Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, ADBE (ADBE) has an estimated fair value of $625.88 per share, compared to its current market price of $281.74. The stock is currently trading 122.1% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 23% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 90.1% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $528.63.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $725.91, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

ADBE is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-01-15 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 6, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

ADBE (ADBE) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates ADBE (ADBE) at $625.88 per share, compared to the current market price of $281.74. This represents a 122.1% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from ADBE's 10-K · Filed 2026-01-15 filing, classified in the SaaS / Tech sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 23% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.