Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, AES CORP (AES) has an estimated fair value of $15.80 per share, compared to its current market price of $14.10. The stock is currently trading 12.1% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Residual Income, Comparable Companies, ROIC Fade, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show very_low agreement with a 132% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 46.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $13.38.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $21.43, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
AES CORP is classified under the Utility sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-03-02 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:25 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology