CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
AES
AES CORP
10-K · Filed 2026-03-02
C
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
$22
$24
.
.
MKT
FV
.
.
1Y
.
Fair Value
$15.80
1Y Target
$21.43
MKT. PRICE
$14.10
Model Blend
VERY_LOW agreement · 132% spread
Residual Income$3.07 · 29%
Comps$1.65 · 23%
ROIC Fade$5.24 · 14%
DDM$1.26 · 13%
EV/Rev$43.36 · 11%
DCF$94.00 · 10%
Trailing Rev Growth
-0.4%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
-2.0%
Market Cap
$10B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:25 PM EDT
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AES Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, AES CORP (AES) has an estimated fair value of $15.80 per share, compared to its current market price of $14.10. The stock is currently trading 12.1% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Residual Income, Comparable Companies, ROIC Fade, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show very_low agreement with a 132% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 46.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $13.38.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $21.43, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

AES CORP is classified under the Utility sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-03-02 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:25 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

AES CORP (AES) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates AES CORP (AES) at $15.80 per share, compared to the current market price of $14.10. This represents a 12.1% upside from the current price. The verdict is UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from AES CORP's 10-K · Filed 2026-03-02 filing, classified in the Utility sector with high confidence. Model agreement is VERY_LOW with a 132% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.