CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
AFL
AFLAC INC
10-K · Filed 2026-02-25
C
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
$110
$120
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.
1Y
FV
.
.
MKT
.
Fair Value
$75.29
1Y Target
$67.97
MKT. PRICE
$106.22
Model Blend
HIGH agreement · 15% spread
Residual Income$89.03 · 40%
Comps$64.80 · 32%
DCF$67.77 · 29%
Trailing Rev Growth
-9.3%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
-2.0%
Market Cap
$55B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:01 PM EDT
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AFL Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, AFLAC INC (AFL) has an estimated fair value of $75.29 per share, compared to its current market price of $106.22. The stock is currently trading 29.1% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 3 independent models — including Residual Income, Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show high agreement with a 15% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 5.8% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $73.14.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $67.97, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

AFLAC INC is classified under the Life Insurance sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:01 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

AFLAC INC (AFL) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates AFLAC INC (AFL) at $75.29 per share, compared to the current market price of $106.22. This represents a 29.1% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from AFLAC INC's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filing, classified in the Life Insurance sector with high confidence. Model agreement is HIGH with a 15% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.