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AMDADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC
SaaS / Tech10-K · Filed 2026-02-04
Clarity Fair Value
$114.38
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-40.6%)
Market Price
$192.43
40.6% Downside
$103$194$286$377$469202620282030203220342036Market $192
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 31% spread

DCF$131.21 · 34%
EV/Rev$137.57 · 23%
Comps$145.74 · 22%
Residual Income$27.79 · 18%
ROIC Fade$37.26 · 3%
Beta
Shares
1630M
1Y Target
$144.97
EPV Floor
$22.27

AMD Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC (AMD) has an estimated fair value of $114.38 per share, compared to its current market price of $192.43. The stock is currently trading 40.6% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), EV/Revenue, Comparable Companies, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 31% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 10.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $96.84.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $144.97, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-04 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 4:17 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC (AMD) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC (AMD) at $114.38 per share, compared to the current market price of $192.43. This represents a 40.6% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-04 filing, classified in the SaaS / Tech sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 31% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.