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AMZNAMAZON COM INC
Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
Clarity Fair Value
$203.11
FAIR VALUE (-4.7%)
Market Price
$213.21
4.7% Downside
$183$315$448$580$713202620282030203220342036Market $213
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendLOW agreement · 45% spread

DCF$253.26 · 27%
Residual Income$96.76 · 24%
Comps$256.86 · 21%
EV/Rev$352.63 · 14%
ROIC Fade$56.63 · 14%
Beta
Shares
10735M
1Y Target
$235.83
EPV Floor
$88.59

AMZN Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, AMAZON COM INC (AMZN) has an estimated fair value of $203.11 per share, compared to its current market price of $213.21. The stock is currently trading 4.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 45% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 35.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $171.96.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $235.83, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

AMAZON COM INC is classified under the Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-06 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 5:56 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

AMAZON COM INC (AMZN) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates AMAZON COM INC (AMZN) at $203.11 per share, compared to the current market price of $213.21. This represents a 4.7% downside from the current price. The verdict is FAIR VALUE.

This valuation was generated from AMAZON COM INC's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-06 filing, classified in the Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 45% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.