Model BlendLOW agreement · 45% spread
AMZN Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, AMAZON COM INC (AMZN) has an estimated fair value of $203.11 per share, compared to its current market price of $213.21. The stock is currently trading 4.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 45% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 35.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $171.96.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $235.83, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
AMAZON COM INC is classified under the Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-06 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 5:56 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology