Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Aon plc (AON) has an estimated fair value of $375.42 per share, compared to its current market price of $325.63. The stock is currently trading 15.3% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 3 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show high agreement with a 19% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 62.3% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $358.31.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $408.60, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Aon plc is classified under the Insurance Broker sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-13 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.