Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK (ARM) has an estimated fair value of $9.63 per share, compared to its current market price of $132.35. The stock is currently trading 92.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, ROIC Fade, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 37% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $8.15.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $11.25, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.