Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. (AXON) has an estimated fair value of $33.91 per share, compared to its current market price of $496.27. The stock is currently trading 93.2% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 3 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show low agreement with a 47% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $28.71.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $46.82, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. is classified under the Aerospace & Defense sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:06 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology