CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
AXON
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC.
10-K · Filed 2026-02-25
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MKT
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Fair Value
$33.91
1Y Target
$46.82
MKT. PRICE
$496.27
Model Blend
LOW agreement · 47% spread
EV/Rev$52.29 · 38%
Comps$9.28 · 33%
DCF$37.26 · 29%
Trailing Rev Growth
33.5%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
8.2%
Market Cap
$40B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:06 PM EDT
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AXON Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. (AXON) has an estimated fair value of $33.91 per share, compared to its current market price of $496.27. The stock is currently trading 93.2% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 3 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show low agreement with a 47% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $28.71.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $46.82, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. is classified under the Aerospace & Defense sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:06 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. (AXON) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. (AXON) at $33.91 per share, compared to the current market price of $496.27. This represents a 93.2% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from AXON ENTERPRISE, INC.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filing, classified in the Aerospace & Defense sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 47% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.