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BRSPBrightSpire Capital, Inc.
Specialty Lender / Mortgage REIT10-K · Filed 2026-02-18
Clarity Fair Value
$6.45
UNDERVALUED (+16.1%)
Market Price
$5.55
16.1% Upside
$3$6$8$10$12202620282030203220342036Market $6
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendHIGH agreement · 2% spread

DCF$6.56 · 58%
ROIC Fade$6.34 · 42%
Trailing Rev Growth
263.8%
Model Implied CAGR
1Y Price Target
$3.78
Market Cap
$714M

BRSP Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) has an estimated fair value of $6.45 per share, compared to its current market price of $5.55. The stock is currently trading 16.1% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 2 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), ROIC Fade. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show high agreement with a 2% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 77.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $6.36.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $3.78, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. is classified under the Specialty Lender / Mortgage REIT sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) at $6.45 per share, compared to the current market price of $5.55. This represents a 16.1% upside from the current price. The verdict is UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from BrightSpire Capital, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filing, classified in the Specialty Lender / Mortgage REIT sector with high confidence. Model agreement is HIGH with a 2% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.