CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
CAVA
CAVA GROUP, INC.
10-K · Filed 2026-02-25
C
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$140
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1Y
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MKT
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Fair Value
$17.99
1Y Target
$20.60
MKT. PRICE
$84.27
Model Blend
LOW agreement · 44% spread
DCF$24.72 · 26%
Comps$26.21 · 21%
EV/Rev$20.68 · 20%
Residual Income$6.33 · 18%
ROIC Fade$6.71 · 16%
Trailing Rev Growth
22.4%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
5.8%
Market Cap
$10B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:11 PM EDT
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CAVA Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, CAVA GROUP, INC. (CAVA) has an estimated fair value of $17.99 per share, compared to its current market price of $84.27. The stock is currently trading 78.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 44% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $15.23.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $20.60, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

CAVA GROUP, INC. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:11 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

CAVA GROUP, INC. (CAVA) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates CAVA GROUP, INC. (CAVA) at $17.99 per share, compared to the current market price of $84.27. This represents a 78.7% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from CAVA GROUP, INC.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filing, classified in the Consumer / Retail sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 44% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.