Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Chubb Ltd (CB) has an estimated fair value of $299.95 per share, compared to its current market price of $322.58. The stock is currently trading 7.0% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.
This valuation blends 3 independent models — including Residual Income, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show moderate agreement with a 23% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 34.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $281.09.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $316.54, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Chubb Ltd is classified under the P&C Insurance sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-27 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:11 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology