Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) has an estimated fair value of $13.51 per share, compared to its current market price of $30.99. The stock is currently trading 56.4% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 2 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show high agreement with a 17% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0.1% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $13.02.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $16.56, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Confluent, Inc. is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-11 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.