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CHWYChewy, Inc.
Consumer / Retail10-K · Filed 2025-03-26
Clarity Fair Value
$16.95
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-35.2%)
Market Price
$26.16
35.2% Downside
$14$18$21$25$29202620282030203220342036Market $26
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 31% spread

DCF$15.61 · 36%
Comps$18.79 · 29%
DDM$11.70 · 19%
EV/Rev$45.18 · 7%
ROIC Fade$3.24 · 7%
Residual Income$4.68 · 1%
Trailing Rev Growth
6.4%
Model Implied CAGR
-5.2%
1Y Price Target
$17.95
Market Cap
$11B

CHWY Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) has an estimated fair value of $16.95 per share, compared to its current market price of $26.16. The stock is currently trading 35.2% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Dividend Discount Model, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 31% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 14% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $14.35.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $17.95, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Chewy, Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-03-26 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 4:10 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) at $16.95 per share, compared to the current market price of $26.16. This represents a 35.2% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Chewy, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2025-03-26 filing, classified in the Consumer / Retail sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 31% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.