Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. (CSCO) has an estimated fair value of $46.43 per share, compared to its current market price of $77.65. The stock is currently trading 40.2% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Residual Income, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), ROIC Fade, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 50% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 11.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $39.31.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $51.91, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-Q · Filed 2026-02-17 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:17 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology