Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP (DECK) has an estimated fair value of $171.12 per share, compared to its current market price of $100.43. The stock is currently trading 70.4% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 4 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, and 1 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 4 models show moderate agreement with a 22% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 89.1% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $158.67.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $187.25, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-Q · Filed 2026-02-03 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:20 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology