Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR) has an estimated fair value of $102.61 per share, compared to its current market price of $130.26. The stock is currently trading 21.2% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 3 independent models — including Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Dividend Discount Model. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show moderate agreement with a 26% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 19.5% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $95.12.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $106.77, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Extra Space Storage Inc. is classified under the REIT sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-20 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.