CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
F
FORD MOTOR CO
10-K · Filed 2026-02-11
C
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
$22
.
.
MKT
.
.
1Y
.
.
Fair Value
$17.84
1Y Target
$18.12
MKT. PRICE
$11.52
Model Blend
HIGH agreement · 6% spread
DCF$27.20 · 92%
EV/Rev$39.39 · 8%
Trailing Rev Growth
1.2%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
-0.1%
Market Cap
$43B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:27 PM EDT
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F Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, FORD MOTOR CO (F) has an estimated fair value of $17.84 per share, compared to its current market price of $11.52. The stock is currently trading 54.9% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 2 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), EV/Revenue. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show high agreement with a 6% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 92.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $17.18.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $18.12, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

FORD MOTOR CO is classified under the Auto / Equipment OEM sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-11 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:27 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

FORD MOTOR CO (F) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates FORD MOTOR CO (F) at $17.84 per share, compared to the current market price of $11.52. This represents a 54.9% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from FORD MOTOR CO's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-11 filing, classified in the Auto / Equipment OEM sector with high confidence. Model agreement is HIGH with a 6% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.