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FCELFUELCELL ENERGY INC
Industrial / Semis10-K · Filed 2025-12-18
Clarity Fair Value
$10.46
SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED (+51.2%)
Market Price
$6.92
51.2% Upside
$6$10$13$16$20202620282030203220342036Market $7
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendHIGH agreement · 15% spread

EV/Rev$12.23 · 51%
DCF$9.11 · 49%
Trailing Rev Growth
41.0%
Model Implied CAGR
-9.2%
1Y Price Target
$12.77
Market Cap
$367M

FCEL Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, FUELCELL ENERGY INC (FCEL) has an estimated fair value of $10.46 per share, compared to its current market price of $6.92. The stock is currently trading 51.2% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 2 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show high agreement with a 15% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 94.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $10.16.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $12.77, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

FUELCELL ENERGY INC is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-12-18 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

FUELCELL ENERGY INC (FCEL) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates FUELCELL ENERGY INC (FCEL) at $10.46 per share, compared to the current market price of $6.92. This represents a 51.2% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from FUELCELL ENERGY INC's 10-K · Filed 2025-12-18 filing, classified in the Industrial / Semis sector with high confidence. Model agreement is HIGH with a 15% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.