CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
FDX
FEDEX CORP
10-Q · Filed 2026-03-19
C
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
$600
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MKT
1Y
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Fair Value
$386.56
1Y Target
$421.86
MKT. PRICE
$358.85
Model Blend
LOW agreement · 43% spread
DCF$410.51 · 32%
Residual Income$185.15 · 25%
EV/Rev$604.04 · 19%
ROIC Fade$136.33 · 13%
Comps$683.41 · 11%
Trailing Rev Growth
4.7%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
4.4%
Market Cap
$86B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:58 PM EDT
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FDX Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, FEDEX CORP (FDX) has an estimated fair value of $386.56 per share, compared to its current market price of $358.85. The stock is currently trading 7.7% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 43% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 43.8% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $327.27.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $421.86, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

FEDEX CORP is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-Q · Filed 2026-03-19 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:58 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

FEDEX CORP (FDX) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates FEDEX CORP (FDX) at $386.56 per share, compared to the current market price of $358.85. This represents a 7.7% upside from the current price. The verdict is FAIR VALUE.

This valuation was generated from FEDEX CORP's 10-Q · Filed 2026-03-19 filing, classified in the Industrial / Semis sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 43% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.