Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) has an estimated fair value of $109.99 per share, compared to its current market price of $41.17. The stock is currently trading 167.2% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 42% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 92.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $93.12.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $169.30, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is classified under the Fintech / Payments sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-27 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:29 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology