CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
FOUR
Shift4 Payments, Inc.
10-K · Filed 2026-02-27
C
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
$150
$175
$200
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MKT
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FV
.
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1Y
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Fair Value
$109.99
1Y Target
$169.30
MKT. PRICE
$41.17
Model Blend
LOW agreement · 42% spread
EV/Rev$137.81 · 47%
DCF$158.57 · 23%
Comps$60.21 · 17%
Residual Income$8.22 · 9%
ROIC Fade$10.05 · 5%
Trailing Rev Growth
25.5%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
6.9%
Market Cap
$4B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:29 PM EDT
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FOUR Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) has an estimated fair value of $109.99 per share, compared to its current market price of $41.17. The stock is currently trading 167.2% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 42% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 92.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $93.12.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $169.30, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Shift4 Payments, Inc. is classified under the Fintech / Payments sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-27 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:29 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) at $109.99 per share, compared to the current market price of $41.17. This represents a 167.2% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Shift4 Payments, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-27 filing, classified in the Fintech / Payments sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 42% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.