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GDGENERAL DYNAMICS CORP
Aerospace & Defense10-K · Filed 2026-01-30
Clarity Fair Value
$271.65
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-25.3%)
Market Price
$363.49
25.3% Downside
$244$324$403$483$562202620282030203220342036Market $363
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendLOW agreement · 43% spread

Residual Income$187.99 · 25%
DCF$338.18 · 21%
ROIC Fade$132.49 · 17%
Comps$479.96 · 16%
EV/Rev$369.08 · 12%
DDM$114.51 · 9%
Beta
Shares
270M
1Y Target
$286.33
EPV Floor
$187.35

GD Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP (GD) has an estimated fair value of $271.65 per share, compared to its current market price of $363.49. The stock is currently trading 25.3% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Residual Income, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), ROIC Fade, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show low agreement with a 43% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 20.8% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $229.99.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $286.33, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP is classified under the Aerospace & Defense sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-01-30 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 10:03 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP (GD) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP (GD) at $271.65 per share, compared to the current market price of $363.49. This represents a 25.3% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP's 10-K · Filed 2026-01-30 filing, classified in the Aerospace & Defense sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 43% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.