Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP, INC. (HIG) has an estimated fair value of $173.41 per share, compared to its current market price of $132.65. The stock is currently trading 30.7% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 3 independent models — including Residual Income, Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show high agreement with a 13% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 83.3% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $168.66.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $183.53, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP, INC. is classified under the P&C Insurance sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-20 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.