Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, HOLOGIC INC (HOLX) has an estimated fair value of $65.78 per share, compared to its current market price of $75.41. The stock is currently trading 12.8% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 4 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 1 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 4 models show low agreement with a 41% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 29.1% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $56.08.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $68.55, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
HOLOGIC INC is classified under the Pharma / Biotech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-Q · Filed 2026-01-29 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:32 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology