Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) has an estimated fair value of $352.74 per share, compared to its current market price of $241.77. The stock is currently trading 45.9% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 4 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, ROIC Fade, and 1 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 4 models show low agreement with a 47% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 64.5% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $298.64.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $408.30, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-24 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:34 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology