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ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.
Data / Analytics / Ratings10-K · Filed 2026-02-05
Clarity Fair Value
$151.20
FAIR VALUE (-9%)
Market Price
$166.19
9% Downside
$136$221$306$391$475202620282030203220342036Market $166
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendLOW agreement · 46% spread

DCF$226.34 · 34%
Comps$191.77 · 23%
Residual Income$57.02 · 20%
ROIC Fade$53.78 · 15%
EV/Rev$134.83 · 8%
Beta
Shares
568M
1Y Target
$164.09
EPV Floor
$71.86

ICE Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) has an estimated fair value of $151.20 per share, compared to its current market price of $166.19. The stock is currently trading 9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 46% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 31.7% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $128.01.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $164.09, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. is classified under the Data / Analytics / Ratings sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-05 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 10:06 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) at $151.20 per share, compared to the current market price of $166.19. This represents a 9% downside from the current price. The verdict is FAIR VALUE.

This valuation was generated from Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-05 filing, classified in the Data / Analytics / Ratings sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 46% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.