Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, IREN Ltd (IREN) has an estimated fair value of $24.56 per share, compared to its current market price of $41.29. The stock is currently trading 40.5% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 4 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, and 1 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 4 models show low agreement with a 47% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 10.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $20.79.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $34.80, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

IREN Ltd is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-Q · Filed 2026-02-05 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.