CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
JD
JD.com, Inc.
10-K
C
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
.
MKT
.
.
.
FV
1Y
.
Fair Value
$46.91
1Y Target
$49.68
MKT. PRICE
$27.27
Model Blend
MODERATE agreement · 39% spread
DCF$59.24 · 27%
Residual Income$26.12 · 22%
Comps$46.74 · 18%
EV/Rev$80.06 · 18%
ROIC Fade$17.17 · 16%
Trailing Rev Growth
3.9%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
3.4%
Market Cap
$91B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:36 PM EDT
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JD Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, JD.com, Inc. (JD) has an estimated fair value of $46.91 per share, compared to its current market price of $27.27. The stock is currently trading 72.0% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 39% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 74.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $39.72.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $49.68, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

JD.com, Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:36 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

JD.com, Inc. (JD) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates JD.com, Inc. (JD) at $46.91 per share, compared to the current market price of $27.27. This represents a 72% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from JD.com, Inc.'s 10-K filing, classified in the Consumer / Retail sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 39% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.