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JNJJOHNSON & JOHNSON
Pharma / Biotech10-K · Filed 2026-02-11
Clarity Fair Value
$183.33
OVERVALUED (-23.7%)
Market Price
$240.40
23.7% Downside
$150$188$226$264$301202620282030203220342036Market $240
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 28% spread

DCF$166.50 · 36%
Comps$278.06 · 21%
Residual Income$208.59 · 20%
ROIC Fade$73.10 · 17%
EV/Rev$179.52 · 6%
Beta
Shares
2410M
1Y Target
$195.78
EPV Floor
$153.38

JNJ Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, JOHNSON & JOHNSON (JNJ) has an estimated fair value of $183.33 per share, compared to its current market price of $240.40. The stock is currently trading 23.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 28% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 19.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $164.76.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $195.78, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

JOHNSON & JOHNSON is classified under the Pharma / Biotech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-11 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 10:02 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

JOHNSON & JOHNSON (JNJ) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates JOHNSON & JOHNSON (JNJ) at $183.33 per share, compared to the current market price of $240.40. This represents a 23.7% downside from the current price. The verdict is OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from JOHNSON & JOHNSON's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-11 filing, classified in the Pharma / Biotech sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 28% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.