Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 28% spread
JNJ Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, JOHNSON & JOHNSON (JNJ) has an estimated fair value of $183.33 per share, compared to its current market price of $240.40. The stock is currently trading 23.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 28% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 19.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $164.76.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $195.78, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
JOHNSON & JOHNSON is classified under the Pharma / Biotech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-11 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 10:02 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology