CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
10-K · Filed 2026-02-24
C
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
.
.
FV
.
MKT
.
.
.
Fair Value
$7.63
1Y Target
$9.55
MKT. PRICE
$10.06
Model Blend
SINGLE_MODEL agreement · 0% spread
DCF$7.63 · 100%
Trailing Rev Growth
67.6%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
8.3%
Market Cap
$3B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
10:14 PM EDT
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LCID Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) has an estimated fair value of $7.63 per share, compared to its current market price of $10.06. The stock is currently trading 24.2% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 1 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 1 models show single_model agreement with a 0% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 19% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $6.90.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $9.55, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Lucid Group, Inc. is classified under the Auto / Equipment OEM sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-24 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 10:14 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) at $7.63 per share, compared to the current market price of $10.06. This represents a 24.2% downside from the current price. The verdict is OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Lucid Group, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-24 filing, classified in the Auto / Equipment OEM sector with high confidence. Model agreement is SINGLE_MODEL with a 0% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.