Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) has an estimated fair value of $7.63 per share, compared to its current market price of $10.06. The stock is currently trading 24.2% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 1 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 1 models show single_model agreement with a 0% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 19% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $6.90.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $9.55, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Lucid Group, Inc. is classified under the Auto / Equipment OEM sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-24 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 10:14 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology