CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
LRCX
LAM RESEARCH CORP
10-Q · Filed 2026-01-29
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MKT
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Fair Value
$89.30
1Y Target
$104.86
MKT. PRICE
$228.36
Model Blend
LOW agreement · 41% spread
DCF$100.25 · 48%
Residual Income$41.50 · 16%
EV/Rev$69.89 · 16%
Comps$218.34 · 10%
ROIC Fade$15.08 · 10%
Trailing Rev Growth
26.8%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
7.3%
Market Cap
$285B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:39 PM EDT
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LRCX Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, LAM RESEARCH CORP (LRCX) has an estimated fair value of $89.30 per share, compared to its current market price of $228.36. The stock is currently trading 60.9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 41% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 2.1% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $75.60.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $104.86, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

LAM RESEARCH CORP is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-Q · Filed 2026-01-29 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:39 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

LAM RESEARCH CORP (LRCX) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates LAM RESEARCH CORP (LRCX) at $89.30 per share, compared to the current market price of $228.36. This represents a 60.9% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from LAM RESEARCH CORP's 10-Q · Filed 2026-01-29 filing, classified in the Industrial / Semis sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 41% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.