Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, MID AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC. (MAA) has an estimated fair value of $123.41 per share, compared to its current market price of $121.79. The stock is currently trading 1.3% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.
This valuation blends 3 independent models — including Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Dividend Discount Model. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show moderate agreement with a 28% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 42.5% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $111.74.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $125.21, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
MID AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC. is classified under the REIT sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-06 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 8:08 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology