Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) has an estimated fair value of $12.63 per share, compared to its current market price of $8.46. The stock is currently trading 49.3% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 1 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 1 models show single_model agreement with a 0% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 75.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $11.43.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $15.66, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

MARA Holdings, Inc. is classified under the Fintech / Payments sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-03-02 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.