Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INC (MCHP) has an estimated fair value of $1.60 per share, compared to its current market price of $62.97. The stock is currently trading 97.5% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Residual Income, ROIC Fade, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 52% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $1.35.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $1.91, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INC is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-Q · Filed 2026-02-05 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:41 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology