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MCOMOODYS CORP /DE/
Data / Analytics / Ratings10-K · Filed 2026-02-18
Clarity Fair Value
$379.79
OVERVALUED (-19.5%)
Market Price
$471.97
19.5% Downside
$342$528$714$900$1.1K202620282030203220342036Market $472
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 31% spread

DCF$498.78 · 40%
Comps$418.85 · 27%
ROIC Fade$138.25 · 18%
EV/Rev$319.81 · 9%
Residual Income$209.45 · 6%
Trailing Rev Growth
Model Implied CAGR
1Y Price Target
$412.97
Market Cap
$84B

MCO Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, MOODYS CORP /DE/ (MCO) has an estimated fair value of $379.79 per share, compared to its current market price of $471.97. The stock is currently trading 19.5% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, ROIC Fade, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 31% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 23.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $333.09.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $412.97, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

MOODYS CORP /DE/ is classified under the Data / Analytics / Ratings sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 12:29 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

MOODYS CORP /DE/ (MCO) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates MOODYS CORP /DE/ (MCO) at $379.79 per share, compared to the current market price of $471.97. This represents a 19.5% downside from the current price. The verdict is OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from MOODYS CORP /DE/'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filing, classified in the Data / Analytics / Ratings sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 31% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.