Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 31% spread
MCO Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, MOODYS CORP /DE/ (MCO) has an estimated fair value of $379.79 per share, compared to its current market price of $471.97. The stock is currently trading 19.5% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, ROIC Fade, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 31% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 23.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $333.09.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $412.97, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
MOODYS CORP /DE/ is classified under the Data / Analytics / Ratings sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 12:29 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology