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MELIMERCADOLIBRE INC
Fintech / Payments10-K · Filed 2026-02-25
Clarity Fair Value
$2527.82
SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED (+41.4%)
Market Price
$1787.86
41.4% Upside
$1.6K$7.3K$13.1K$18.8K$24.6K202620282030203220342036Market $1.8K
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendVERY_LOW agreement · 69% spread

Comps$1371.33 · 47%
EV/Rev$2987.75 · 23%
DCF$7798.50 · 15%
ROIC Fade$294.87 · 11%
Residual Income$329.93 · 4%
Trailing Rev Growth
55.0%
Model Implied CAGR
-7.0%
1Y Price Target
$3137.87
Market Cap
$91B

MELI Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) has an estimated fair value of $2527.82 per share, compared to its current market price of $1787.86. The stock is currently trading 41.4% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show very_low agreement with a 69% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 62.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $2140.13.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $3137.87, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

MERCADOLIBRE INC is classified under the Fintech / Payments sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 1:50 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) at $2527.82 per share, compared to the current market price of $1787.86. This represents a 41.4% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from MERCADOLIBRE INC's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filing, classified in the Fintech / Payments sector with high confidence. Model agreement is VERY_LOW with a 69% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.