Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 40% spread
META Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has an estimated fair value of $672.90 per share, compared to its current market price of $644.86. The stock is currently trading 4.3% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 40% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 41.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $571.98.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $818.18, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Meta Platforms, Inc. is classified under the Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-01-29 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology