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METAMeta Platforms, Inc.
Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler10-K · Filed 2026-01-29
Clarity Fair Value
$672.90
FAIR VALUE (+4.3%)
Market Price
$644.86
4.3% Upside
$580$1.3K$2.1K$2.8K$3.5K202620282030203220342036Market $645
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 40% spread

DCF$1039.93 · 30%
Comps$775.96 · 24%
Residual Income$426.52 · 19%
ROIC Fade$205.85 · 16%
EV/Rev$561.75 · 12%
Beta
Shares
2574M
1Y Target
$818.18
EPV Floor
$295.45

META Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has an estimated fair value of $672.90 per share, compared to its current market price of $644.86. The stock is currently trading 4.3% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 40% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 41.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $571.98.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $818.18, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Meta Platforms, Inc. is classified under the Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-01-29 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) at $672.90 per share, compared to the current market price of $644.86. This represents a 4.3% upside from the current price. The verdict is FAIR VALUE.

This valuation was generated from Meta Platforms, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-01-29 filing, classified in the Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 40% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.