Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 33% spread
NKE Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, NIKE, Inc. (NKE) has an estimated fair value of $64.81 per share, compared to its current market price of $57.01. The stock is currently trading 13.7% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 33% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 49.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $56.69.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $58.69, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
NIKE, Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-07-17 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology