← Back to search
NKENIKE, Inc.
Consumer / Retail10-K · Filed 2025-07-17
Clarity Fair Value
$64.81
UNDERVALUED (+13.7%)
Market Price
$57.01
13.7% Upside
$47$54$60$67$73202620282030203220342036Market $57
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 33% spread

DCF$66.32 · 25%
Residual Income$50.54 · 21%
Comps$101.61 · 16%
ROIC Fade$34.10 · 14%
EV/Rev$98.10 · 13%
DDM$36.38 · 11%
Trailing Rev Growth
Model Implied CAGR
1Y Price Target
$58.69
Market Cap
$49B

NKE Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, NIKE, Inc. (NKE) has an estimated fair value of $64.81 per share, compared to its current market price of $57.01. The stock is currently trading 13.7% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 33% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 49.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $56.69.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $58.69, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

NIKE, Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-07-17 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Get the Full Analysis
Monte Carlo confidence intervals, financial statements, scenario modeling, comparable companies, and market context — all in one report.
Run Full Valuation →
Free · 5 valuations/month · No credit card required
Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates NIKE, Inc. (NKE) at $64.81 per share, compared to the current market price of $57.01. This represents a 13.7% upside from the current price. The verdict is UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from NIKE, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2025-07-17 filing, classified in the Consumer / Retail sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 33% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.