Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, NOC (NOC) has an estimated fair value of $386.55 per share, compared to its current market price of $756.13. The stock is currently trading 48.9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Residual Income, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), ROIC Fade, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show low agreement with a 44% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 6.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $327.26.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $387.43, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

NOC is classified under the Aerospace & Defense sector, and this valuation is based on 10-Q · Filed 2025-10-21 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.