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NVDANVIDIA CORP
Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler10-K · Filed 2026-02-25
Clarity Fair Value
$160.84
FAIR VALUE (-9.5%)
Market Price
$177.82
9.5% Downside
$145$254$364$473$583202620282030203220342036Market $178
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendHIGH agreement · 16% spread

DCF$168.22 · 47%
Comps$190.02 · 31%
EV/Rev$138.45 · 16%
Residual Income$38.29 · 3%
ROIC Fade$23.23 · 3%
Beta
Shares
24300M
1Y Target
$200.48
EPV Floor
$45.61

NVDA Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) has an estimated fair value of $160.84 per share, compared to its current market price of $177.82. The stock is currently trading 9.5% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show high agreement with a 16% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 31.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $136.17.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $200.48, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

NVIDIA CORP is classified under the Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) at $160.84 per share, compared to the current market price of $177.82. This represents a 9.5% downside from the current price. The verdict is FAIR VALUE.

This valuation was generated from NVIDIA CORP's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-25 filing, classified in the Mega-Cap / Hyperscaler sector with high confidence. Model agreement is HIGH with a 16% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.