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OXYOCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/
E&P (Oil & Gas)10-K · Filed 2026-02-18
Clarity Fair Value
$32.00
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-40.9%)
Market Price
$54.19
40.9% Downside
$29$37$44$52$60202620282030203220342036Market $54
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 31% spread

Comps$46.12 · 24%
Residual Income$27.71 · 22%
DDM$13.79 · 19%
DCF$39.64 · 17%
EV/Rev$27.41 · 11%
ROIC Fade$35.23 · 6%
Trailing Rev Growth
Model Implied CAGR
1Y Price Target
$32.68
Market Cap
$53B

OXY Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/ (OXY) has an estimated fair value of $32.00 per share, compared to its current market price of $54.19. The stock is currently trading 40.9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Comparable Companies, Residual Income, Dividend Discount Model, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 31% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 6.5% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $29.22.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $32.68, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/ is classified under the E&P (Oil & Gas) sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 2:04 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/ (OXY) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/ (OXY) at $32.00 per share, compared to the current market price of $54.19. This represents a 40.9% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filing, classified in the E&P (Oil & Gas) sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 31% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.