Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 31% spread
OXY Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/ (OXY) has an estimated fair value of $32.00 per share, compared to its current market price of $54.19. The stock is currently trading 40.9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Comparable Companies, Residual Income, Dividend Discount Model, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 31% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 6.5% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $29.22.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $32.68, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/ is classified under the E&P (Oil & Gas) sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-18 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 2:04 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology