Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 23% spread
PBR Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) has an estimated fair value of $43.47 per share, compared to its current market price of $18.40. The stock is currently trading 136.2% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 23% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 98.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $40.64.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $47.22, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA is classified under the General sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 9, 2026, 4:04 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology