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PBRPETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA
General10-K
Clarity Fair Value
$43.47
SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED (+136.2%)
Market Price
$18.40
136.2% Upside
$17$39$62$85$108202620282030203220342036Market $18
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 23% spread

DCF$56.04 · 32%
Comps$47.10 · 23%
Residual Income$29.43 · 20%
EV/Rev$44.41 · 13%
ROIC Fade$27.28 · 13%
Trailing Rev Growth
Model Implied CAGR
-12.2%
1Y Price Target
$47.22
Market Cap
$137B

PBR Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) has an estimated fair value of $43.47 per share, compared to its current market price of $18.40. The stock is currently trading 136.2% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 23% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 98.9% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $40.64.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $47.22, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA is classified under the General sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 4:04 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) at $43.47 per share, compared to the current market price of $18.40. This represents a 136.2% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA's 10-K filing, classified in the General sector with medium confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 23% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.