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PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.
SaaS / Tech10-K · Filed 2026-02-17
Clarity Fair Value
$22.33
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-85.8%)
Market Price
$157.16
85.8% Downside
$20$58$96$135$173202620282030203220342036Market $157
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendLOW agreement · 43% spread

DCF$31.43 · 38%
Residual Income$10.62 · 29%
EV/Rev$20.92 · 19%
Comps$40.08 · 8%
ROIC Fade$4.50 · 7%
Beta
Shares
2391M
1Y Target
$29.10
EPV Floor
$5.58

PLTR Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has an estimated fair value of $22.33 per share, compared to its current market price of $157.16. The stock is currently trading 85.8% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 43% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $18.91.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $29.10, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Palantir Technologies Inc. is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-17 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 6:06 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) at $22.33 per share, compared to the current market price of $157.16. This represents a 85.8% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Palantir Technologies Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-17 filing, classified in the SaaS / Tech sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 43% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.