Model BlendLOW agreement · 43% spread
PLTR Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has an estimated fair value of $22.33 per share, compared to its current market price of $157.16. The stock is currently trading 85.8% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 43% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $18.91.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $29.10, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Palantir Technologies Inc. is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-17 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 6:06 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology