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PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.
Fintech / Payments10-K · Filed 2026-02-03
Clarity Fair Value
$91.13
SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED (+98.9%)
Market Price
$45.81
98.9% Upside
$41$79$117$155$193202620282030203220342036Market $46
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 29% spread

DCF$99.02 · 34%
Comps$119.60 · 25%
ROIC Fade$40.92 · 22%
Residual Income$69.77 · 11%
EV/Rev$135.52 · 8%
Trailing Rev Growth
4.3%
Model Implied CAGR
-9.2%
1Y Price Target
$97.20
Market Cap
$42B

PYPL Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) has an estimated fair value of $91.13 per share, compared to its current market price of $45.81. The stock is currently trading 98.9% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, ROIC Fade, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 29% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 90.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $81.90.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $97.20, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

PayPal Holdings, Inc. is classified under the Fintech / Payments sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-03 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 4:12 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) at $91.13 per share, compared to the current market price of $45.81. This represents a 98.9% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-03 filing, classified in the Fintech / Payments sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 29% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.