CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc.
10-K · Filed 2026-03-02
C
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
.
FV
1Y
.
.
MKT
.
.
Fair Value
$5.97
1Y Target
$8.06
MKT. PRICE
$13.38
Model Blend
LOW agreement · 48% spread
EV/Rev$4.05 · 68%
DCF$10.81 · 32%
Trailing Rev Growth
71.9%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
17.9%
Market Cap
$5B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
9:56 PM EDT
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RIOT Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) has an estimated fair value of $5.97 per share, compared to its current market price of $13.38. The stock is currently trading 55.4% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 2 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show low agreement with a 48% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 3.5% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $5.13.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $8.06, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Riot Platforms, Inc. is classified under the Fintech / Payments sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-03-02 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 9:56 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) at $5.97 per share, compared to the current market price of $13.38. This represents a 55.4% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Riot Platforms, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-03-02 filing, classified in the Fintech / Payments sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 48% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.