Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) has an estimated fair value of $67.18 per share, compared to its current market price of $90.41. The stock is currently trading 25.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 26% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 20.5% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $56.88.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $77.23, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Shake Shack Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-26 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.