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SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.
Fintech / Payments10-K · Filed 2026-02-17
Clarity Fair Value
$6.18
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-67.3%)
Market Price
$18.90
67.3% Downside
$3$7$12$16$21202620282030203220342036Market $19
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 39% spread

DCF$3.74 · 36%
Comps$8.33 · 32%
Residual Income$4.66 · 11%
EV/Rev$4.65 · 11%
ROIC Fade$10.89 · 11%
Trailing Rev Growth
-77.9%
Model Implied CAGR
20.2%
1Y Price Target
$5.57
Market Cap
$24B

SOFI Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) has an estimated fair value of $6.18 per share, compared to its current market price of $18.90. The stock is currently trading 67.3% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 39% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0.8% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $5.40.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $5.57, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

SoFi Technologies, Inc. is classified under the Fintech / Payments sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-17 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 11:58 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) at $6.18 per share, compared to the current market price of $18.90. This represents a 67.3% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from SoFi Technologies, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-17 filing, classified in the Fintech / Payments sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 39% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.