Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. (SWK) has an estimated fair value of $52.03 per share, compared to its current market price of $67.28. The stock is currently trading 22.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, ROIC Fade, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 44% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 22.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $44.05.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $53.42, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-24 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 10:02 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology