CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
SWK
STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC.
10-K · Filed 2026-02-24
C
$40
$45
$50
$55
$60
$65
$70
$75
.
.
FV
1Y
.
MKT
.
.
Fair Value
$52.03
1Y Target
$53.42
MKT. PRICE
$67.28
Model Blend
LOW agreement · 44% spread
DCF$26.29 · 29%
Residual Income$38.16 · 27%
ROIC Fade$51.37 · 18%
Comps$83.71 · 17%
EV/Rev$126.93 · 8%
Trailing Rev Growth
-1.5%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
Market Cap
$10B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
10:02 PM EDT
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SWK Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. (SWK) has an estimated fair value of $52.03 per share, compared to its current market price of $67.28. The stock is currently trading 22.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, ROIC Fade, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show low agreement with a 44% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 22.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $44.05.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $53.42, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-24 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 10:02 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. (SWK) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. (SWK) at $52.03 per share, compared to the current market price of $67.28. This represents a 22.7% downside from the current price. The verdict is OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-02-24 filing, classified in the Industrial / Semis sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 44% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.