Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, TARGET CORP (TGT) has an estimated fair value of $186.69 per share, compared to its current market price of $120.79. The stock is currently trading 54.6% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show low agreement with a 42% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 68% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $158.06.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $185.48, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

TARGET CORP is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-03-12 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.