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TJXTJX COMPANIES INC /DE/
Consumer / Retail10-K · Filed 2025-04-02
Clarity Fair Value
$95.76
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-39.9%)
Market Price
$159.33
39.9% Downside
$86$119$152$184$217202620282030203220342036Market $159
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 34% spread

DCF$131.11 · 33%
Comps$118.26 · 22%
EV/Rev$92.95 · 17%
DDM$45.10 · 17%
Residual Income$42.94 · 8%
ROIC Fade$25.45 · 5%
Trailing Rev Growth
Model Implied CAGR
1Y Price Target
$101.23
Market Cap
$177B

TJX Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/ (TJX) has an estimated fair value of $95.76 per share, compared to its current market price of $159.33. The stock is currently trading 39.9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 34% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 11.3% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $81.07.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $101.23, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/ is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-04-02 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 5:42 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/ (TJX) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/ (TJX) at $95.76 per share, compared to the current market price of $159.33. This represents a 39.9% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/'s 10-K · Filed 2025-04-02 filing, classified in the Consumer / Retail sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 34% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.