Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 34% spread
TJX Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/ (TJX) has an estimated fair value of $95.76 per share, compared to its current market price of $159.33. The stock is currently trading 39.9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 34% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 11.3% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $81.07.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $101.23, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/ is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-04-02 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 5:42 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology